Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.004352 0.004581 0.004816 0.005077 0.005357 0.005651 0.005981
2025-09-07 0.003906 0.004239 0.004595 0.005008 0.005474 0.005985 0.006593
2025-09-14 0.003616 0.004002 0.004428 0.004935 0.005528 0.006201 0.007032
2025-09-21 0.003439 0.003868 0.004352 0.004943 0.005652 0.006482 0.007542
2025-09-28 0.003203 0.003646 0.004154 0.004787 0.005562 0.006492 0.007709
2025-10-05 0.003081 0.003548 0.004093 0.004783 0.005647 0.006708 0.008136
2025-10-12 0.003018 0.003514 0.004103 0.004863 0.005834 0.007055 0.008742
2025-10-19 0.002905 0.003414 0.004025 0.004826 0.005866 0.007200 0.009087
2025-10-26 0.002809 0.003328 0.003959 0.004798 0.005906 0.007353 0.009446
2025-11-02 0.002717 0.003244 0.003892 0.004763 0.005931 0.007483 0.009777
2025-11-09 0.002683 0.003230 0.003912 0.004841 0.006108 0.007826 0.010428
2025-11-16 0.002612 0.003167 0.003863 0.004825 0.006155 0.007988 0.010822
2025-11-23 0.002537 0.003095 0.003804 0.004793 0.006180 0.008121 0.011184
2025-11-30 0.002454 0.003011 0.003725 0.004730 0.006157 0.008184 0.011442
2025-12-07 0.002375 0.002930 0.003645 0.004664 0.006124 0.008229 0.011672
2025-12-14 0.002329 0.002890 0.003620 0.004671 0.006197 0.008432 0.012164
2025-12-21 0.002229 0.002776 0.003491 0.004526 0.006042 0.008283 0.012071
2025-12-28 0.002186 0.002736 0.003462 0.004523 0.006095 0.008452 0.012514
2026-01-04 0.002172 0.002736 0.003487 0.004597 0.006265 0.008810 0.013301
2026-01-11 0.002122 0.002685 0.003439 0.004562 0.006267 0.008904 0.013635
2026-01-18 0.002077 0.002640 0.003398 0.004537 0.006283 0.009017 0.014010
2026-01-25 0.002032 0.002593 0.003353 0.004504 0.006285 0.009108 0.014348
2026-02-01 0.002023 0.002596 0.003379 0.004576 0.006455 0.009483 0.015238